Hello
I'm Jeremy, a dad, husband, entrepreneur and quantitative investor in Arizona. I write about markets, technology and the practical things I learn while building businesses, civic tools and projects at home.
Explore the indicators behind markets and household finances.
Research publicationElectoral MeridianElection returns, forecasts and county history, with an Arizona desk.
From idea to practiceProjects & businessesCivic research, automation, energy and things I've built.
If you can vote in this election, request a ballot. The deadline is March 27. Election Day is April 7. Eligible landowners can vote by mail or in person. Most people who can vote in this race still do not know it exists…
Continue readingI find myself listening to videos on YouTube quite frequently where it would be nice to dump them into an MP3 and take them on the road. This script will do exactly that. I also added transcription for analysis. Just put in…
Continue readingPolymarket.com, a prediction market platform, operates on the Ethereum blockchain through the Polygon network, making it possible to analyze user transactions directly from the blockchain. By accessing a user’s wallet address, we can…
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About a month ago, I noticed some arbitrage opportunities on Polymarket.com. However, the liquidity on the platform isn't significant enough for me to pursue this further. I'm planning to return to stock trading. That said, I still have…
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Recently, I placed a bet on Polymarket.com, speculating that Kamala Harris and JD Vance will not debate before the upcoming election. With just 60 days left, the odds looked favorable, and this trade seemed like an easy win. But as any…
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I've spent the last couple of weeks shifting my focus toward finding arbitrage opportunities in the betting markets. Today, I came across an intriguing bet on Polymarket: “Will Apple remain the largest company through September 30th?”. The…
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I'm always on the hunt for an edge in the markets. After finishing Nate Silver's book, "On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything." this week I thought it would be fitting to write a blog post about an arbitrage opportunity Ironically…
Continue readingHere is a quick tutorial on how to generate API Key, Secret, and Passphrase to Polymarket.com. This way you can start trading using Python and skip the web interface. keys.env The first step is to create an environment file. You only want…
Continue readingRecently I started exploring arbitrage opportunities in the Polymarket.com world. I quickly realized I would need faster access to the data. So I wrote some Python programs to access the platform for data analytics. The documents for doing…
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I've had Unconventional Success by David F. Swensen on my shelf for five years, but it took me a while to finish. The book is somewhat dense and challenging, yet it offers valuable insights, particularly about the effects of drawdown on a…
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